The Indiana Pacers visit Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks in a cross-conference matchup on Saturday. The game marks the return of Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle to Dallas, where he was the head coach of the Mavericks for more than a decade. The Mavs are 28-21 and on regular rest, while the Pacers (18-32) are on the second night of a back-to-back after beating the Thunder on Friday. Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) and Sterling Brown (foot) are out for Dallas. Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles) and Myles Turner (foot) are the notable players who will be out for Indiana.
Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Dallas. Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as a 10-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 217 in the latest Pacers vs. Mavericks odds. Before making any Mavericks vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 58-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Pacers, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pacers vs. Mavs:
- Mavericks vs. Pacers spread: Mavericks -10
- Mavericks vs. Pacers over-under: 217 points
- Mavericks vs. Pacers money line: Mavericks -550, Pacers +400
- IND: The Pacers are 6-2 against the spread with no rest
- DAL: The Mavericks are 11-12-1 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers
Why the Pacers can cover
Indiana is above-average on offense, scoring 1.1 points per possession, and the offensive glass is a big part of that success. The Pacers are securing 30 percent of available rebounds, a top-three mark in the NBA, and Indiana ranks in the top five in second-chance points. The Pacers are in the top eight of the NBA in points in the paint and 2-point shooting accuracy, with an above-average mark in assists.
Dallas is No. 24 in the NBA in steals and No. 28 in blocks on defense, allowing the Pacers to be distinctly aggressive. The Pacers also have defensive strengths, including top-five rankings in 3-pointers allowed per game, assists allowed per game and blocked shots per game. Indiana is above-average on the defensive glass, grabbing more than 73 percent of rebounds, and the Mavericks are below-average in 3-point accuracy, free-throw creation and rebounding on the offensive end.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas is excelling on the defensive end this season, ranking in the top five of the NBA in overall efficiency. The Mavericks are holding opponents to 106.9 points per 100 possessions, with opponents shooting only 33.8 percent from 3-point range. Dallas is No. 2 in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (10.9 per game), and the Mavericks are in the top five in defensive rebound rate at 74.4 percent.
The Mavericks give up only 20.0 free-throw attempts per game, a top-eight mark, and opponents average only 23.3 assists per game against Dallas. Indiana is a bottom-tier team in turnover prevention and 3-point shooting on offense, with the Pacers struggling in turnover creation and free-throw prevention on defense. Dallas hasn’t been quite as potent on offense this season as in previous years, but the Mavericks are No. 3 in the NBA in turnovers, committing only 12.6 per game. Dallas also ranks in the top 10 in assist rate, assist-to-turnover ratio and 2-point accuracy this season.
How to make Pacers vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 212 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
This news is republished from another source. You can check the original article here