1:40 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins (40-43) at New York Mets (53-32)
The Mets have taken two of the first three games in the four-game set. New York is coming off a 5-4 win on Saturday, cashing as -175 home favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, Miami hands the ball to ace righty Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.82 ERA) and New York sends out fellow righty Taijuan Walker (7-2, 2.86 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a short -125 home favorite and the Marlins a +115 road dog. Pros have jumped at the opportunity to grab Alcantara as a dog, steaming the Marlins down from +115 to +105. Sunday teams coming off a loss playing an opponent who missed the playoffs the previous year are 81-42 (66%) this season. Miami is 9-2 in Alcantara’s last 11 starts. Alcantara is the favorite to win the NL Cy Young at +105. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game here. The total opened at 7.5 and has fallen to 7, signaling sharp under money.
4:10 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (42-41) at San Diego Padres (49-37)
After dropping the first two games of the series, the Giants bounced back with a 3-1 win yesterday, cashing as a slight -110 road favorite. In this late afternoon series finale, San Francisco sends out lefty Alex Wood (5-7, 4.83 ERA) and San Diego taps fellow southpaw Mackenzie Gore (4-3, 3.18 ERA). This line opened with the Padres listed as a -135 home favorite and the Giants a +125 road dog. Sharps have grabbed the plus money with the Giants, dropping San Francisco from +125 to +105. The Giants have value as a road divisional dog with a line move in their favor. The total is 7.5 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some liability on a higher scoring game. The over is 15-8 over the last 23 games between the Giants and Padres.
7:08 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (61-24) at Boston Red Sox (46-39)
The Red Sox lost the first two games of this AL East showdown before posting a 6-5 come-from-behind win on Saturday, cashing as +140 home dogs. In tonight’s series finale, the Yankees turn to righty Jameson Taillon (9-2, 3.62 ERA) and the Red Sox start fellow righty Nick Pivetta (8-6, 3.68 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -130 road favorite and Boston a +120 home dog. Wiseguys have grabbed Boston getting plus money, dropping the Red Sox from +120 to +115. The Red Sox have value as a divisional dog in a high total game (9). Boston holds the edge at the plate, hitting .260 compared to .244 for New York. The Red Sox are 9-2 in Pivetta’s last 11 starts.
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