Introduction – Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC
The 36th round of the 2025 Brazilian Championship Series B features a match that carries the weight of a final. Botafogo-SP and Amazonas FC take to the field at the Santa Cruz Stadium in Ribeirão Preto, knowing that this result could determine their fate in the competition. For the São Paulo team, victory is fundamental to remain in the promotion group and keep alive the hope of returning to the elite. For the Amazonas club, the focus is on scoring points at any cost and avoiding the risk of relegation.
The context adds layers of tension and expectation. Botafogo-SP arrives in good form, with a solid home record and a playing style that has proven increasingly efficient under Paulo Baier’s command. The coach has managed to find a balance between offensive intensity and defensive compactness, making Pantera a difficult team to beat in Ribeirão Preto.
On the other side, Amazonas FC is trying to bounce back after weeks of inconsistency. The team, managed by Adílson Batista, alternates between good moments of competitiveness and lapses in concentration, especially in away games. Even so, there’s a sense of urgency within the squad, who see this match as a chance to turn things around and end the season on a high note.
The psychological factor will play a significant role. Botafogo enters the field with the support of over 15,000 fans, which boosts their energy but also increases the pressure for a result. Amazonas, on the other hand, needs to deal with the natural hostility of a packed stadium and the difficulty of imposing their style of play away from Manaus.
The game has all the typical ingredients of a Série B final stretch: tension, strategy, and emotion. These are two clubs with distinct objectives, but equally dependent on a good performance. Mental balance and tactical execution will be the key differences on a night that promises to be highly competitive.
Current situation of the Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC teams.
Botafogo-SP – Consistency, control, and strength at Santa Cruz
Botafogo-SP arrives at the match experiencing its best moment in the competition. In recent rounds, the team has achieved important results and consolidated a clear playing identity. The team relies on a model that prioritizes ball possession and the rational occupation of spaces, with the midfield serving as both a creative and defensive axis.
Defensive solidity is one of the team’s pillars. Under the leadership of Tiago Reis and Gustavo Henrique, the zonal marking system has significantly reduced the spaces offered to the opponent. Goalkeeper João Carlos is also in stable form, averaging 0.9 goals conceded per game. This performance allows the full-backs to advance freely, especially Pará, a key player in offensive build-up play on the right flank.
In midfield, João Lucas and Leandro Carvalho are responsible for the tempo and transition. Carvalho, in particular, has stood out for his game reading and ability to break lines with vertical passes. The presence of Gustavo Xuxa adds creativity and long-range finishing, a resource that has decided difficult matches.
In attack, Bruno Michel and Osman have formed an efficient partnership, alternating short passes and diagonal runs. Botafogo-SP doesn’t depend on a single goalscorer—the goals are distributed among different players, reflecting a well-adjusted collective system. This characteristic makes the team less predictable and more difficult to neutralize.
At home, their performance is impressive: 78% of points earned in Ribeirão Preto. Their home strength is a result of an environment that puts pressure on the opponent and a team that imposes a high tempo from the start. With two more home games until the end of the championship, a victory over Amazonas is seen as crucial to keeping their promotion hopes alive.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Full utilization | 62% |
| Performance as the home team | 78% |
| Goals scored | 42 |
| Goals conceded | 27 |
| Average ball possession | 55% |
| Shots per game | 12.4 |
| Passing accuracy | 86% |
Amazonas FC – Overcoming challenges, adjustments, and the search for stability.
Amazonas FC arrives in Ribeirão Preto aware of its condition and limitations. The team has experienced highs and lows throughout the season, but has demonstrated the willingness and tactical discipline to compete against more structured opponents. Adílson Batista is betting on a game plan based on defensive solidity and efficiency in offensive transitions.
The coach’s preferred tactical system is the 4-4-2, with compact lines and a defense that closes well through the center. The team seeks to make it difficult for the opponent to pass the ball and reduce the spaces between the sectors. Renan and Anderson Paraíba are responsible for maintaining defensive stability, while Igor Torres and Léo Rocha complete the line, playing in a more restrained manner to prevent infiltrations down the flanks.
In midfield, Rafael Tavares and Ítalo Melo play a dual role: they defend and create plays. The duo acts as the team’s barometer, dictating the intensity and distributing the ball towards forwards Sassá and Netto. When Amazonas manages to speed up the game, they become dangerous, especially on fast breaks, exploiting the spaces left by more offensive opponents.
Despite having one of the worst away records (23%), Amazonas is not an easy team to beat. In recent rounds, they drew with teams from the top of the table and lost games by small margins. The biggest challenge has been converting good defensive performances into positive results. Their conversion rate of chances created is still low — an average of 1.1 goals per game — which explains their inconsistency throughout the championship.
The match in Ribeirão Preto represents more than just three points: it’s a test of character. The coaching staff sees the game as an opportunity to show that the club, even as a newcomer to Série B, can compete on equal terms with more experienced teams. The objective is simple, but challenging: to score points away from home and keep the project of staying in the league alive.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Full utilization | 38% |
| Enjoyment as a visitor | 23% |
| Goals scored | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 42 |
| Average number of shots on goal | 9.1 |
| Passing accuracy | 78% |
| Taking advantage of opportunities | 24% |
Head-to-head record between Botafogo-SP and Amazonas FC
The recent history between Botafogo-SP and Amazonas FC is short, but it already offers an interesting picture of the rivalry between the São Paulo club, a traditional team in Série B, and the emerging representative from Amazonas. Up to 2025, the two teams officially faced each other five times, with a slight advantage for Pantera, who won three matches, drew one, and lost only one.
In matches played at the Santa Cruz Stadium, Botafogo-SP’s dominance is even more evident. The Ribeirão Preto team won both previous home games, both with solid performances and territorial control. Meanwhile, Amazonas has struggled to impose its style away from Manaus, suffering from the intensity and physical strength of its São Paulo opponents.
The first meeting between the teams took place in 2023, with Botafogo winning 2-1 in a balanced match decided only in the final minutes. Since then, the São Paulo team has maintained consistency whenever playing in front of their home crowd, exploiting Amazonas’ defensive weaknesses. The only victory for the Manaus team came in 2024, at the Carlos Zamith stadium, by 2-0, in a performance marked by efficiency on counter-attacks.
Historically, clashes between the two teams have been characterized by intense matches, with little space and strong physical battles in midfield. The average number of goals per game (2.6) reflects the balance: Botafogo tends to be more proactive, while Amazonas relies on quick counter-attacks. This combination usually results in fast-paced matches, but with controlled scores.
Historically, Botafogo has a favorable record, but not an absolute one. Amazonas has demonstrated in previous matches that it can compete on equal terms, especially when it maintains a compact game plan and takes advantage of the speed of its attackers. In 2025, the duel takes on even greater importance, as the circumstances of the standings make the result decisive for both teams.
| Statistic | Updated Value (2025) |
|---|---|
| Total number of official matches | 5 |
| Botafogo-SP victories | 3 |
| Amazonas FC victories | 1 |
| Draws | 1 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 |
| Percentage of games with more than 2.5 goals. | 46% |
| Botafogo’s home record | 78% |
| Exploiting the Amazon outside | 23% |
Recent Statistics and Current Form: Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC
The teams’ recent performances highlight the difference in their current form. Botafogo-SP comes into this match with three wins in their last five games, maintaining a consistent trajectory, especially in home games. The team has shown balance between defense and attack, with tactical variations that allow them to control the pace of the game. Amazonas, on the other hand, has been alternating results and struggling with the inconsistency that has plagued them since the start of the championship.
In their last five games, Botafogo-SP scored seven goals and conceded four, demonstrating defensive solidity and offensive efficiency. The team has proven particularly dangerous on set pieces, which account for almost 30% of their goals this season. This characteristic could be decisive against an opponent that struggles with aerial marking.
Amazonas FC has won only one of its last five matches, drawing two and losing two. The attack scored four goals in that period, while the defense conceded six. These numbers reflect the difficulty in transforming good defensive performances into victories. The average number of shots is 9 per game, but the accuracy of those shots is one of the lowest in Série B, which limits the team’s offensive potential.
In terms of collective performance, Botafogo shows more consistent numbers across all sectors. Their average ball possession of 55% and pass accuracy of 86% reflect a team that values build-up play and territorial control. Amazonas, on the other hand, prefers a more direct style of play, averaging 47% possession and relying on short, vertical transitions.
These stylistic contrasts promise a game of clear tactical oppositions. Botafogo-SP will try to dominate the midfield and keep their opponent back, while Amazonas will seek to exploit quick transitions and defensive positioning errors by their rival. The result will depend on who manages to impose their rhythm first.
| Team | Wins (Last 5) | Draws | Defeats | Goals Scored | Goals Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| Amazonas FC | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Probable Lineups and Tactical Strategies: Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC
The tactical setup of both teams promises an interesting clash of styles. Botafogo-SP is expected to field a 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritizing ball possession and offensive width. The team will look to press from the opening minutes, exploiting the flanks and attempting to open the scoring early to control the pace of the game. Paulo Baier is expected to maintain the same lineup as in recent matches, valuing continuity and team cohesion.
Botafogo’s greatest offensive weapon lies in the combinations between João Lucas, Leandro Carvalho, and Bruno Michel. The trio is responsible for dictating the pace in the final third and generating a high volume of play. Bruno Michel, in particular, is in good form and is the team’s top scorer with 10 goals this season. On the flanks, Pará and Jean Victor constantly provide support, offering width and precise crosses for the attack.
Probable lineup – Botafogo-SP (4-2-3-1):
João Carlos; Pará, Gustavo Henrique, Tiago Reis, Jean Victor; João Lucas, Leandro Carvalho; Robinho, Gustavo Xuxa, Osman; Bruno Michel.
Coach: Paulo Baier.
Amazonas FC should maintain its compact 4-4-2 formation, prioritizing defensive balance. The team will try to reduce the space between the lines and congest the midfield, making it difficult for the opponent to make quick transitions. The main hope lies in the attacking duo of Sassá and Netto, players with good movement and capable of exploiting counter-attacks. The strategy will be to withstand the initial pressure and try to surprise Botafogo on their transition errors.
Defensive set pieces will also receive special attention, as Amazonas has been conceding goals from corner kicks and free kicks. Adilson Batista has asked for maximum concentration and greater aggressiveness in the fight for the second ball. The coach acknowledges the opponent’s technical superiority, but believes that collective strength and discipline can even the score.
Probable lineup – Amazonas FC (4-4-2):
Marcão; Igor Torres, Renan, Anderson Paraíba, Léo Rocha; Diego Torres, Rafael Tavares, Ítalo Melo, Matheusinho; Sassá, Netto.
Coach: Adílson Batista.
The strategies differ, but both coaches share the same concern: minimizing errors and controlling emotions. In a game of such importance, the mental aspect can be just as crucial as the tactics.
Collective Performance: Consistency vs. Survival
The match between Botafogo-SP and Amazonas FC represents a clash between two distinct realities in the 2025 Série B.
Botafogo-SP arrives at Santa Cruz with a solid campaign, sustained by tactical balance and consistency. In 34 games, the team has accumulated 17 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with 45 goals scored and 31 conceded, guaranteeing an overall success rate of 62%.
Amazonas, on the other hand, struggles with inconsistency and displays modest numbers: 9 wins, 10 draws and 15 losses, with 31 goals scored and 44 conceded, resulting in a 38% success rate.
Their home and away performances clearly illustrate the difference between the two teams:
| Indicator | Botafogo-SP | Amazonas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall performance | 62% | 38% |
| Performance as the home team | 78% | — |
| Enjoyment as a visitor | — | 23% |
| Average number of goals scored | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Average number of goals conceded | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Clean Sheets | 8 | 4 |
| Average cards per game | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Shots per game | 12.4 | 9.1 |
| Corner kicks in favor (average) | 5.8 | 3.4 |
These numbers explain the difference in approach. Botafogo-SP is more dominant and seeks to control the game, while Amazonas focuses on defense and tries to exploit counter-attacks.
Psychological Aspects: Pressure, Control, and Resilience
The final stretch of the Série B brings with it an intense emotional charge.
Botafogo-SP, buoyed by the fans and the real possibility of promotion, feels the weight of expectation. The squad recognizes that anxiety can interfere with decision-making, especially if the goal doesn’t come early. Coach Paulo Baier has insisted on emotional control and focus on executing the tactical plan — “game by game” has become the mantra in the locker room.
Amazonas FC, on the other hand, sees the game as a battle for survival. The coaching staff is working with a discourse of overcoming adversity: transforming external pressure into competitive fuel. The Manaus team, despite its limitations, shows cohesion and team spirit. Players like Sassá and Renan exert silent leadership, trying to shield the group from the adverse atmosphere away from home.
Analysis by the Coaches: Strategy and Adaptation Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC
Paulo Baier (Botafogo-SP)
- Profile: offensive, detail-oriented, favors the 4-2-3-1 formation with intensity and possession.
- Strengths: game reading, efficient use of the flanks, set-piece control.
- Challenge: maintain defensive consistency without losing aggressiveness.
- Tactical highlight: short triangulations and quick switches of play.
Adilson Batista (Amazonas FC)
- Profile: pragmatic, disciplined, prefers a compact 4-4-2 formation.
- Strengths: defensive solidity, direct transitions, and physical play.
- Challenge: create offensive volume and manage emotional strain.
- Tactical highlight: low blocks and vertical build-up play in two touches.
| Criterion | Paulo Baier (Botafogo-SP) | Adilson Batista (Amazonas FC) |
|---|---|---|
| Basic system | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
| Philosophy | Possession, intensity, and scope | Reaction, strength and discipline |
| Substitution pattern | Offensive attacks after 60 minutes | Conservative, replacements due to wear and tear. |
| Performance in 2025 | 62% | 38% |
| Average ownership time | 55% | 47% |
| Goals from set pieces | 26% | 18% |
The philosophical difference between the two managers sets the tone for the game: Baier seeks the spotlight, while Batista prefers control through positioning. The winner will be whoever manages to impose their rhythm from midfield.
Efficiency and Game Dynamics
Efficiency has been the key to Botafogo-SP’s success. With an average of 1.4 goals per game and only 0.9 conceded, the team demonstrates balance across its various sectors. The attack converts 33% of its shots on target, while the defense blocks 42% of opponents’ shots.
Amazonas, on the other hand, struggles with finishing: they only hit the target 24% of their shots, and need eight attempts to score a goal.
In set pieces, Botafogo has a clear advantage: they have already scored 12 goals from corners and free kicks, compared to only 5 for Amazonas.
| Game Situation | Botafogo-SP | Amazonas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored with the ball in play | 33 | 24 |
| Goals from set pieces | 12 | 5 |
| Goals conceded after 75 min | 6 | 11 |
| Goals scored after 75 minutes | 9 | 4 |
| Average number of successful passes | 86% | 78% |
| Fouls committed per game | 13.2 | 15.6 |
| Red cards (total) | 3 | 6 |
These data reveal the difference in competitive maturity: Botafogo reacts well under pressure and is more efficient in the final minutes, while Amazonas suffers from a drop in physical performance and concentration.
Expectations and Game Atmosphere
The Santa Cruz Stadium is expected to host between 15,000 and 18,000 fans, creating a decisive atmosphere. The Botafogo-SP management has mobilized ticket sales campaigns and pre-game events. The club hopes to raise around R$ 400,000 from ticket sales alone.
The mood in Ribeirão Preto is one of confidence, but also caution—fans know that Série B punishes a lack of focus.
For Amazonas, the mission is to resist. The Manaus team arrived in Ribeirão after a journey of almost 2,800 km, with logistics adjusted to minimize fatigue. The predicted temperature is around 29°C, which could favor Botafogo’s intense pace.
In terms of expectations, the match is being treated internally as a “preliminary final”:
- For Botafogo-SP, the goal is to consolidate their position in the top four and get closer to promotion.
- For Amazonas FC, staying in Série B is what matters.
Final Analysis – What is at stake for each side
For Botafogo-SP, the match represents the consolidation of a successful project: stable technical management, an experienced squad, and fan support. A victory reinforces confidence and paves the way for a return to Série A.
For Amazonas FC, the fight is for survival — and the symbolic value is enormous. Even if the team doesn’t manage to win, a draw away from home could be the necessary fuel for the final rounds. The collective mentality and tactical focus will be tested to the limit.
The score may just be a number; the real impact lies in morale. Whoever emerges emotionally stronger from this game can define the course of their entire season.
Conclusion – Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC
The clash between Botafogo-SP and Amazonas FC goes beyond the 90 minutes. It’s a meeting between two opposing trajectories in the 2025 Série B — one marked by consistency and evolution, the other by the constant struggle to withstand pressure.
Botafogo-SP, under the command of Paulo Baier, has consolidated a collective identity based on possession, verticality, and territorial dominance. With one of the best home records, the team from the interior of São Paulo demonstrates emotional and tactical solidity. Their home performance (78% success rate) is supported by a high offensive conversion rate and defensive balance, allowing the team to dictate the pace of most matches.
The team arrives at the match with total focus on gaining access to Série A. A victory could leave Pantera just a few points away from mathematically guaranteeing their return to the elite, something that hasn’t happened since 2001. The atmosphere in Ribeirão Preto is one of moderate confidence: the fans recognize their status as favorites, but also know that Série B is treacherous and doesn’t forgive complacency.
Amazonas FC, on the other hand, is going through a rebuilding phase. Even without the same budget or structure, Adílson Batista’s team has maintained its competitiveness and demonstrates improvement in its tactical approach. The main challenge lies in balancing defense and attack: when the team tries to play more freely, it tends to leave crucial gaps. Away from home, their success rate is only 23%, but the club sees this game as a chance for an emotional turnaround.
The duel will be decided by the details:
- If Botafogo opens the scoring early , they tend to dominate the pace and control the game with possession and triangular passing.
- If Amazonas holds on until halftime , it could even the score and exploit the anxiety of the home crowd.
Both teams have clear goals: Botafogo is playing to get promoted; Amazonas, to avoid relegation. This difference in context makes the match a perfect reflection of Série B — where every point is crucial for your future.
Mathematical Projections and Possible Scenarios
Based on recent results and the average performance of both teams, mathematical projections indicate the following scenario:
| Scenario | Probability | Effect on the Table |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP victory | 63% | It’s firmly in the top four, and could even reach 3rd place. |
| Draw | 23% | Botafogo remains in the top four, but at risk of pressure from competitors. |
| Victory of Amazonas FC | 14% | The chances of staying in the league increase to 38%, reducing the risk of relegation. |
Projected points needed for promotion (historical average): 63 points.
Current estimated points for Botafogo-SP: 58 points (with 4 rounds remaining).
Required: 2 wins and 1 draw guarantee mathematical promotion.
For Amazonas FC:
Currently with 37 points, they need to reach 45 to safely escape relegation. This requires at least 3 wins in the last 4 rounds — a huge challenge given the schedule.
| Projection Indicator | Botafogo-SP | Amazonas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Current points | 58 | 37 |
| Projected target | 63 | 45 |
| Chance of achieving the goal | 72% | 21% |
| Average points per game | 1.76 | 1.08 |
| Remaining rounds | 4 | 4 |
| Probability of access | 68% | — |
| Probability of relegation | — | 62% |
These numbers reinforce the importance of the match: for Botafogo, it’s an opportunity to secure their spot; for Amazonas, it’s a final played out in advance for survival.
Updated Predictions and Odds from Bookmakers (Realistic Simulation)
| Result | Average Price | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo-SP victory | 1.72 | Favorite by a wide margin |
| Draw | 3.40 | Possible in case of a truncated game. |
| Victory of Amazonas FC | 5.10 | An unlikely scenario, but with a risk involved. |
Editor’s Prediction:
Botafogo-SP 2 x 0 Amazonas FC
- Goals: Bruno Michel (1st half), Gustavo Xuxa (2nd half)
- Highlight: Leandro Carvalho, orchestrating the media.
- Key to the game: possession control and offensive set pieces.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) – Botafogo-SP vs. Amazonas FC
- When will the match between Botafogo-SP and Amazonas FC take place?
Monday, November 10, 2025, at 8 PM, at Santa Cruz Stadium. - What is the position of each team in the Série B standings?
Botafogo-SP is in the top four and aiming for promotion; Amazonas FC is fighting against relegation. - Who is the favorite according to the betting odds?
Botafogo-SP, with average odds of 1.72. - How many points does Botafogo need to guarantee promotion?
Around 63 points; with four rounds remaining, the team already has 58. - And Amazonas? What does it need to stay in Série B?
To reach 45 points — which requires at least three wins in the last four matches. - How are the recent campaigns going?
Botafogo: 3 wins in the last 5 games. Amazonas: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses. - What is the head-to-head record between the teams?
Five official matches: 3 wins for Botafogo, 1 for Amazonas, 1 draw. - Who are the most decisive players?
Bruno Michel and Leandro Carvalho (Botafogo); Sassá and Ítalo Melo (Amazonas). - Are there any significant absences?
Amazonas will be without Matheusinho (suspended). Botafogo has a full squad. - Who is the referee for the game?
Referee: Raphael Claus (FIFA-SP), assisted by Fabrini and Tatiane Sacilotti. - What is the weather forecast for the day of the match?
A high of 29°C, humidity at 64%, no rain expected. - What is the recent record at Santa Cruz Stadium?
Botafogo-SP has won 4 of its last 5 home games, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 3. - What are the possession and shooting statistics for each team?
Botafogo: 55% possession / 12.4 shots. Amazonas: 47% possession / 9.1 shots. - Who performs better from set pieces?
Botafogo, with 12 goals from set pieces in 2025. - How can emotional factors influence the game?
Botafogo needs to control its anxiety; Amazonas must avoid initial nervousness.
